HORIZON-CL6-2027-02-COMMUNITIES-01: Rural resilience indicators, shock early warning with data and AI, and a drought-prone pilot area in Türkiye (TAGEM)

The AI and Agricultural Technologies Research Center of TAGEM, the research directorate of Türkiye's Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, would like to join a COMMUNITIES-01 consortium. We can lead a task on resilience measurement or on data and early warning tools.

The topic asks to measure resilience through the initial impact of a shock and the capacity to recover. We can build these indicators from open statistics, satellite data and price series, and test them on past shocks such as droughts and the 2022 food price surge. We use causal methods to separate the effect of a shock from the underlying trend.

We can also provide the data and AI layer for anticipation: drought and crop monitoring from satellite and field sensors, and market and news-based signals, brought together in a simple dashboard designed with local authorities. We pay attention to how such tools are governed: who owns the data, who is accountable for an alert, and how the tool is explained to the people who use it.

As a pilot we propose a rural area in the Konya basin in central Anatolia, where drought and falling groundwater are the main shocks. It offers a comparison with EU rural areas and a test of the indicators outside the EU. Through the Ministry we can bring the national level into the dialogue on crisis preparedness.

We are looking for a coordinator, rural development and social science teams, local authorities and civil protection actors.