HORIZON-CL6-2027-03-GOVERNANCE-02: Price and market analytics, policy impact evaluation and a ministry end user from Türkiye (TAGEM)

The AI and Agricultural Technologies Research Center of TAGEM, the research directorate of Türkiye's Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, would like to join a GOVERNANCE-02 consortium. We can lead a task on market indicators or on the comparison with a non-EU market.

Our team combines agricultural economics with machine learning. We work on price exuberance tests for regional wheat markets, mixed-frequency price forecasting, gravity models of bilateral trade, and causal evaluation of policy measures. We also build news-based uncertainty indicators with language models. We can apply these methods to Turkish data and to EU series, and connect them to the sector models the consortium already uses.

The Ministry can act as end user. This covers requirements at the start, validation workshops with Ministry units and Turkish stakeholders, and a policy brief on competitiveness.

Türkiye is a large wheat producer and importer and a leading flour exporter, placed between the Black Sea exporters and the EU. This makes it a useful test of whether the indicators hold outside the EU.

We are looking for a coordinator, teams running EU agricultural sector models, farm accountancy data specialists and policy research institutes.